The most popular new credit in July exceeded 550bi

2022-07-27
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The new credit in July exceeded 550billion yuan, and the interest rate may be increased in August

Guide: for the new credit data in July, which is highly concerned by the market, recently various brokerage research institutions have given forecasts, from 550billion yuan to 650billion yuan, and the number is rising steadily. For the monetary policy in the second half of the year, most experts said that the credit tightening policy will continue, and the year-on-year increase of CPI in July may exceed

with regard to the new credit data in July, which is highly concerned by the plastic enterprises and the market, energy conservation, environmental protection, lightweight and 3D printing are becoming more and more popular. Recently, various brokerage research institutions have given forecasts, from 550billion yuan to 650billion yuan, and the number is rising steadily. As for the monetary policy in the second half of the year, most experts said that the credit tightening policy will continue, and the year-on-year increase of CPI in July may exceed that in June, reaching a new high. In order to control inflation and stabilize the price level, the expectation of interest rate hike in August is strengthened

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according to the prediction of the research center of Bank of communications, the new loan in July will remain at about 550billion yuan. Economist Lu Zhengwei also predicted that the new loans in July also remained at about 550billion yuan. Economist lixunlei believes that new loans in July may remain at about 600billion yuan. Analyst lihuiyong recently released a report predicting that the new credit in July was 623.5 billion yuan, an increase of 90.7 billion yuan over the same period last year. Analyst sunwencun said that based on the effect at the beginning of the quarter, it is expected that the new credit increase in July will be slightly higher than the 633.9 billion yuan in June, or about 650billion yuan, due to the close connection between China's extruder products and strategic new industries

as for the interest rate hike, most experts said that the interest rate hike in August is very likely. Political Commissar Lu said that there is a great possibility of raising interest rates in August, and the deposit reserve ratio should not be increased any more. Lixunlei believes that under the current situation, interest rates should indeed be increased. It is expected that the policy relaxation will no longer exist in the third quarter, the interest rate increase in the third quarter cannot be ruled out, and the money supply will not be relaxed. At present, the deposit reserve ratio has reached a historical high of 21.5%, and the room for increase is very limited. However, each increase in the future will have greater side effects. Therefore, from the perspective of ensuring the normal implementation of monetary policy instruments, the benchmark interest rate should also be raised

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